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Segment 6: Modelling infrastructure

Modelling infrastructure is newly developed infrastructure as a part of AnaEE-ERIC connecting various levels of experimental and observational research applying process-based models, model cascades and digital twins, which allows upscaling of the data from the site to the regional and global level as well as providing future predictions using climate models and scenarios.

The modelling infrastructure rests upon a combination of an ensemble of process-based crop growth models (Hermes, MONICA, DSSAT) and also landscape models that include the agricultural and forested lands (Biome-BGC-MUSO), process-based hydrological models (MikeSHE and MikeBASIN) up to the Global Biosphere Management model GLOBIOM that allows higher-order integration. Recently, the entire platform has been applied to create a digital twin of the Dyje River basin. In such a scale, the overall impact of climate change on both agriculture and forestry production, as well as water availability and quality, can be studied, and adaptations developed through the use of the other infrastructural segments can be demonstrated. This makes it extremely useful not only for testing the benefits/risks of proposed adaptation/mitigation measures on the digital representation of the real river basin but also for testing communication strategies to the local and national governments.

The modeling infrastructure produces many available datasets predicting climate change scenarios, agricultural yields, or subsequent economic consequences:

  • Intersucho (http://www.interdrought.cz/) on-line portal providing integrated drought monitoring and forecast for the area of the Czech Rep., Slovakia and central Europe for applied (e.g. farmers, foresters, hydrologists), scientific and mass media community.
  • Klimatická změna (Climate change http://www.klimatickazmena.cz/) on-line portal summarising information on the impacts of climate change, risks, vulnerabilities and adaptation measures on the basis of the best available methods and in cooperation with expert teams, provided mainly for wide society and mass media community.
  • FireRisk (https://www.firerisk.cz/) on-line portal. The interactive FireRisk application is used for detailed monitoring and forecasting of the risk of natural fires. Within the application, information on the degree of risk is provided mainly for decision-making sphere.
  • Výnosy plodin (Crop yields, https://www.vynosy-plodin.cz/) on-line portal providing forecast of yields of individual crops at the district level of the Czech Republic for wide range of the users (farmers, agricultural sector, policy-makers, crop markets etc.).
  • Fenologické Fáze (http://www.fenofaze.cz/cz/o-fenologii/) - on-line portal providing phenologic monitoring and forecast of the most important crops and trees in the area of the Czech Republic and Slovakia for applied (e.g. farmers) and scientific community.